Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
AS Saint-Étienne — Laval, Ligue 2
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
66%21%14%
AS Saint-Étienne66%Draw21%Laval14%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1AS Saint-Étienne1.53—
XDraw4.77—
2Laval7.39—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AS Saint-ÉtienneLaval
AS Saint-Étienne 66%, Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 14%. The safest is “AS Saint-Étienne or draw” at 86%.
AS Saint-Étienne 66%Draw 21%Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 14%
1st half
47 · 38 · 15
2nd half
49 · 31 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAS Saint-ÉtienneLavalCombined
Goals scored1.401.603.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
AS Saint-Étienne- Unbeaten at home in 6 matches1:0, 2:0, 3:1, 4:0, 3:1
- 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:0, 2:0, 2:2, 1:2
- Best attack in the league — 23 goals in 10 matches1st place, 25 points
Laval- Winless away in 6 matches0:1, 2:3, 2:3, 1:1, 1:3
- Winless in 8 matches0:1, 3:3, 2:3, 1:1, 2:3
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
AS Saint-Étienne
- homeFC Nantes1:0
- awayRed Star1:0
- homeRodez2:0
- awayFC Metz2:2
- awayDunkerque1:2
Laval
- awayNancy0:1
- homeClermont3:3
- awayPau2:3
- homeSochaux1:1
- awayDijon2:3
Head to head
- 02/21/26Ligue 22:1
- 08/09/25Ligue 23:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
France, Ligue 2: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.