All matches

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC — US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC
DLLLD
—
US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale
LDDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%27%30%
Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC43%Draw27%US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC43%2.33—
XDraw27%3.74—
2US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale30%3.30—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.87

No47%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricStade Lavallois Mayenne FCUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'OpaleCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners9.79.79.7
Cards2.72.75.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FCUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 43%, US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC 43%Draw 27%US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale 30%
1st half
37 · 41 · 21
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC

  • homeFC Sochaux-Montbéliard1:1
  • awayDijon FCO2:3
  • homeRed Star FC 931:2
  • homeGrenoble Foot 380:3
  • awayFC Metz1:1

US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale

  • homeFC Nantes1:2
  • awayClermont Foot 630:0
  • homeDijon FCO1:1
  • awayMontpellier HSC0:0
  • homeRed Star FC 931:1

Head to head

  • 05/09/26Ligue 22:1
  • 09/12/25Ligue 22:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15FC Nantes72149:137
16Clermont Foot 6370614:66
17US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale70523:55
18Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC71248:145

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.