Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
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Montpellier HSC — Red Star FC 93, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
Montpellier HSC
0.7DWLDW
Red Star FC 93
WWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
43%26%30%
Montpellier HSC43%Draw26%Red Star FC 9330%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Montpellier HSC2.31—
XDraw3.78—
2Red Star FC 933.31—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMontpellier HSCRed Star FC 93Combined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners8.89.59.1
Cards1.82.84.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Montpellier HSCRed Star FC 93
Montpellier HSC 43%, Red Star FC 93 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Montpellier HSC 43%Draw 26%Red Star FC 93 30%
1st half
31 · 39 · 30
2nd half
39 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Montpellier HSC
- awayStade de Reims1:1
- homePau FC1:0
- awayAS Saint-Étienne1:3
- homeUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale0:0
- awayUS du Littoral de Dunkerque1:0
Red Star FC 93
- awayEn Avant Guingamp3:1
- homeFC Metz1:0
- awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC2:1
- homeStade de Reims1:4
- awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale1:1
Head to head
- 05/09/26Ligue 21:1
- 08/09/25Ligue 21:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
AS Saint-Étienne751119:816
AS Saint-Étienne751119:8162Red Star FC 9374219:714
Red Star FC 9374219:7143
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:5125
FC Metz724110:710
FC Metz724110:7106
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.