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Monaco vs Lens: result 2:1

France, Ligue 1Match finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Monaco 41%, Lens 34%, draw 25%.

2.4LDWLW
2:1HT 1:0
2.6LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
41%25%34%
Monaco41%Draw25%Lens34%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.19xG1.31
50Possession, %50
9Shots12
6Shots on target4
2Corners8
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
13Fouls11
3Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 73 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Monaco41%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.560%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes62%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Monaco41%2.46—
XDraw25%4.01—
2Lens34%2.90—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Monaco

  • awayParis FC1:3
  • homeLille1:1
  • homeFreiburg3:0
  • awayLorient0:1
  • awayCSKA Sofia2:1

Lens

  • awayLille0:1
  • homeParis FC2:1
  • awayClub Brugge0:3
  • awayTroyes3:1
  • homeSporting CP0:2

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Ligue 12:1
  • 02/21/26Ligue 13:2
  • 11/08/25Ligue 11:4
  • 05/17/25Ligue 10:4
  • 09/01/24Ligue 11:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Rennes951320:1916
6Marseille950420:1315
7Monaco943212:1015
8Nice942313:1214
9Lens941416:1313
10Brest933316:1212
11Lorient93337:812

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.