All matches

Al Sadd SC — Al Duhail SC, Stars League

Qatar, Stars League

Al Sadd SC
WWWWW
—
Al Duhail SC
WDDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%21%30%
Al Sadd SC49%Draw21%Al Duhail SC30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Sadd SC49%2.06—
XDraw21%4.76—
2Al Duhail SC30%3.30—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al Sadd SCAl Duhail SC

Al Sadd SC 49%, Al Duhail SC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Al Sadd SC 49%Draw 21%Al Duhail SC 30%
1st half
42 · 35 · 22
2nd half
27 · 34 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl Sadd SCAl Duhail SCCombined
Goals scored3.671.835.50
Conceded1.500.672.17
Corners7.811.79.7
Cards0.82.33.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

Al Sadd SC

  • awayAl Sailiya SC6:3
  • homeAl Gharafa SC4:1
  • awayQatar SC6:2
  • homeAl Ahli SC Doha3:1
  • homeAl Shamal SC3:2

Al Duhail SC

  • awayAl Shamal SC4:0
  • homeAl-Shahaniya SC1:1
  • awayAl Rayyan SC1:1
  • homeAl Arabi SC1:1
  • homeAl Sailiya SC2:0

Head to head

  • 02/26/26Stars League3:1
  • 09/25/25Stars League0:0
  • 02/22/25Stars League2:0
  • 09/21/24Stars League1:5

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Al Sadd SC440019:712
2Al Rayyan SC43107:210
3Al Duhail SC52309:39
4Al Shamal SC522110:108
5Al Arabi SC41305:36

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.