Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: result 1:1
Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Ceuta 41%, Real Valladolid 32%, draw 27%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedCeuta41%
Actual: Draw — we had 27%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.555%
- Both teams to score MissedNo50%
Actual: Yes — we had 50%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Ceuta
- homeSporting Gijon0:2
- awayCadiz1:3
- homeReal Oviedo1:2
- homeSabadell1:2
- awayCastellon1:1
Real Valladolid
- homeLeganes4:3
- awayGranada1:2
- homeEldense2:3
- homeAlbacete5:0
- awayLas Palmas2:2
Head to head
- 09/20/26Segunda División1:1
- 01/17/26Segunda División0:3
- 08/15/25Segunda División0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Spain, Segunda División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


