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Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: result 1:1

Spain, Segunda DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Ceuta 41%, Real Valladolid 32%, draw 27%.

1.3LLLLD
1:1HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
41%27%32%
Ceuta41%Draw27%Real Valladolid32%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.28xG1.53
44Possession, %56
12Shots11
3Shots on target6
3Corners3
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards1
14Fouls17
3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 86 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Ceuta41%

    Actual: Draw — we had 27%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.555%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No50%

    Actual: Yes — we had 50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Ceuta41%2.41—
XDraw27%3.73—
2Real Valladolid32%3.15—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Ceuta

  • homeSporting Gijon0:2
  • awayCadiz1:3
  • homeReal Oviedo1:2
  • homeSabadell1:2
  • awayCastellon1:1

Real Valladolid

  • homeLeganes4:3
  • awayGranada1:2
  • homeEldense2:3
  • homeAlbacete5:0
  • awayLas Palmas2:2

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Segunda División1:1
  • 01/17/26Segunda División0:3
  • 08/15/25Segunda División0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Las Palmas1252517:2117
12Cordoba1251619:2216
13Real Valladolid1243520:1915
14Tenerife1236315:1715
15Eldense1242613:1714
16Celta Vigo II1234518:2313
17Leganes1233610:2012
18Andorra1232717:2211
19Real Sociedad II1232715:2211
20Cadiz1224615:1610
21Albacete1221910:237
22Ceuta1212910:275

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.