Ligue 1 France · predictions, table and stats
Probabilities for results, goals, corners and cards in every Ligue 1 match. The table from matches played, upcoming fixtures and results — each marked with whether the model’s most likely outcome came true.
Upcoming matches
1 · X · 2 probabilities from the model
Table
after 9 rounds
#TeamPWDLGoalsPtsForm
Champions LeagueRelegation
Season chances
10,000 simulations of the remaining 25 rounds using the model · updated 3 November
| Team | Champion | Top 3 · Champions LeagueTop 3 | Relegation | This week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. PSG | 93% | 100% | <0.1% | — |
| 2. Lille | 2.9% | 55% | <0.1% | — |
| 3. Lyon | 2.1% | 48% | <0.1% | — |
| 4. Paris FC | 0.2% | 11% | <0.1% | — |
| 5. Rennes | 0.4% | 20% | <0.1% | — |
| 6. Marseille | 0.5% | 21% | <0.1% | — |
| 7. Monaco | 0.5% | 24% | <0.1% | — |
| 8. Nice | <0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 9. Lens | 0.3% | 20% | <0.1% | — |
| 10. Brest | <0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | — |
| 11. Lorient | <0.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% | — |
| 12. Toulouse | <0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | — |
| 13. Strasbourg | <0.1% | 2.6% | <0.1% | — |
| 14. Auxerre | <0.1% | <0.1% | 3.2% | — |
| 15. Angers | <0.1% | <0.1% | 25% | — |
| 16. Troyes | <0.1% | <0.1% | 54% | — |
| 17. Le Mans | <0.1% | <0.1% | 58% | — |
| 18. Le Havre | <0.1% | <0.1% | 58% | — |
“This week” shows how a team’s main chance changed: the title for the top half, relegation for the bottom half.
Played matches
✓ — the model’s most likely pre-match outcome came true