Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.39
All matches
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Vikingur Reykjavik — Fram Reykjavik, Úrvalsdeild
Iceland, Úrvalsdeild
Vikingur Reykjavik
3.6WWDDL
Fram Reykjavik
2.3DLDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%21%15%
Vikingur Reykjavik65%Draw21%Fram Reykjavik15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vikingur Reykjavik1.54—
XDraw4.87—
2Fram Reykjavik6.89—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVikingur ReykjavikFram ReykjavikCombined
Goals scored1.501.172.67
Conceded0.831.502.33
Corners11.513.812.6
Cards1.82.03.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Vikingur ReykjavikFram Reykjavik
Víkingur Reykjavík 65%, Fram Reykjavík 15%. The safest is “Víkingur Reykjavík or draw” at 82%.
Víkingur Reykjavík 65%Draw 21%Fram Reykjavík 15%
1st half
44 · 35 · 21
2nd half
43 · 37 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vikingur Reykjavik
- awayKR Reykjavik2:1
- homeKeflavik IF4:1
- homeFram Reykjavik2:2
- awayKR Reykjavik1:1
- awayBorac Banja Luka1:3
Fram Reykjavik
- awayKeflavik IF2:2
- homeBreidablik1:3
- awayVikingur Reykjavik2:2
- homeKA2:2
- awayBreidablik4:3
Head to head
- 09/06/26Úrvalsdeild2:2
- 06/21/26Úrvalsdeild5:0
- 09/21/25Úrvalsdeild2:1
- 07/27/25Úrvalsdeild2:2
- 05/05/25Úrvalsdeild3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:2359
Vikingur Reykjavik24185173:23592
KR Reykjavik24145580:5247
KR Reykjavik24145580:52473Fram Reykjavik24137459:4746
Fram Reykjavik24137459:47464
Breidablik2496947:4633
Breidablik2496947:46335
IA Akranes2496944:4733
IA Akranes2496944:4733Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.