Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70book 1.59
No41%
ours 2.44book 2.21
All matches
—
Rosenborg — Sandefjord, Eliteserien
Norway, Eliteserien
Rosenborg
2.4WWWLW
Sandefjord
1.8WDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
55%23%22%
RosenborgMarket 1.4055%DrawMarket 5.3423%SandefjordMarket 6.8822%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rosenborg1.811.40-16.2
XDraw4.395.34+4.1
2Sandefjord4.556.88+7.4
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRosenborgSandefjordCombined
Goals scored3.001.004.00
Conceded1.500.502.00
Corners11.710.010.8
Cards1.53.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
RosenborgSandefjord
Rosenborg BK 55%, Sandefjord Fotball 22%. The safest is “Rosenborg BK or draw” at 77%.
Rosenborg BK 55%Draw 23%Sandefjord Fotball 22%
1st half
44 · 35 · 21
2nd half
37 · 37 · 26
Bookmakers: 1.40 · 5.34 · 6.88
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
68%1.22
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Rosenborg
- awayKristiansund3:1
- homeTromso5:3
- homeHamKam4:0
- awayBodo/Glimt2:4
- homeViking2:1
Sandefjord
- homeIK Start3:0
- homeViking1:1
- homeBrann0:0
- awaySarpsborg 082:1
- homeKFUM0:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Eliteserien0:0
- 10/29/25Eliteserien1:1
- 07/06/25Eliteserien0:2
- 09/29/24Eliteserien1:0
- 04/01/24Eliteserien2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Tromso21115540:2938
Tromso21115540:29384
Molde21113744:3236
Molde21113744:32365Rosenborg21103839:3033
Rosenborg21103839:30336
Lillestrom21102928:2932
Lillestrom21102928:29327
Brann21921039:3229
Brann21921039:32298
Fredrikstad2184925:3228
Fredrikstad2184925:32289
Sarpsborg 082167824:2925
Sarpsborg 082167824:292510
KFUM21741025:3525
KFUM21741025:352511Sandefjord2065919:2423
Sandefjord2065919:242312
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:4323
Vålerenga Fotball21651034:432313
HamKam21651029:4423
HamKam21651029:4423Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.