Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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Rasen Ballsport Leipzig — SV 07 Elversberg, Bundesliga
Germany, Bundesliga
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig
2.4LWLLWSV 07 Elversberg
2.7DLWWWOutcome probability
502525
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig50%Draw25%SV 07 Elversberg25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Rasen Ballsport Leipzig2.00—
XDraw3.92—
2SV 07 Elversberg4.08—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRasen Ballsport LeipzigSV 07 ElversbergCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners14.511.012.8
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Rasen Ballsport LeipzigSV 07 Elversberg2.8Days of rest74Matches in 14 days256.50%Possession42.30%9Table position7 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Home advantage and current form favour Rasen Ballsport Leipzig: a home win is rated at 50%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
72%
Form and context
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig
- awayBayer 04 Leverkusen0:2
- homeHamburger SV5:0
- awayCalcio Como1:4
- awaySV Werder Bremen1:3
- homeBorussia VfL Mönchengladbach3:0
SV 07 Elversberg
- awayFC Schalke 040:0
- homeFC Bayern München1:2
- awayBorussia VfL Mönchengladbach4:3
- homeBayer 04 Leverkusen3:2
- homePreußen 06 Münster3:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen421110:57
Bayer 04 Leverkusen421110:576
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:67
1. FSV Mainz 05421110:677SV 07 Elversberg42118:77
SV 07 Elversberg42118:778
SV Werder Bremen42118:87
SV Werder Bremen42118:879Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:56
Rasen Ballsport Leipzig42029:5610
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:105
Eintracht Frankfurt41219:10511
FC Schalke 0441213:45
FC Schalke 0441213:45