Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Kocaelispor — Goztepe, Süper Lig
Turkey, Süper Lig
Kocaelispor
1.8WLWWW
Goztepe
2.1DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
42%27%31%
Kocaelispor42%Draw27%Goztepe31%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kocaelispor2.41—
XDraw3.67—
2Goztepe3.20—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKocaelisporGoztepeCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded0.332.002.33
Corners9.09.89.4
Cards1.22.63.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KocaelisporGoztepe
Kocaelispor Kulübü 42%, Göztepe 31%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Kocaelispor Kulübü 42%Draw 27%Göztepe 31%
1st half
32 · 41 · 27
2nd half
32 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kocaelispor
- homeGaziantep2:0
- awayGalatasaray0:1
- homeSamsunspor1:0
- awayKonyaspor2:1
- homeAmedspor2:0
Goztepe
- homeCaykur Rizespor2:2
- awayAlanyaspor2:2
- homeGaziantep2:4
- awayGalatasaray2:3
- homeGenclerbirligi0:1
Head to head
- 04/18/26Süper Lig1:1
- 11/23/25Süper Lig0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Galatasaray641113:1013
Galatasaray641113:10133
Besiktas640214:712
Besiktas640214:7124Kocaelispor64027:412
Kocaelispor64027:4125
Alanyaspor63218:611
Alanyaspor63218:6116
Fenerbahce631216:610
Fenerbahce631216:6107
Trabzonspor631213:510
Trabzonspor631213:5108
Kasimpasa62407:510
Kasimpasa62407:5109
Caykur Rizespor63127:610
Caykur Rizespor63127:61010
Gaziantep62227:78
Gaziantep62227:7811
Corum FK621313:127
Corum FK621313:12712
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
Istanbul Basaksehir621310:11713
Genclerbirligi62135:137
Genclerbirligi62135:13714
Erzurumspor62133:117
Erzurumspor62133:11715
Konyaspor61144:84
Konyaspor61144:8416
Samsunspor61146:124
Samsunspor61146:12417Goztepe603311:153
Goztepe603311:15318
Eyupspor61052:163
Eyupspor61052:163Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.