All matches

FC Nantes — US du Littoral de Dunkerque, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

FC Nantes
1.0WLWDL
—
US du Littoral de Dunkerque
LWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%26%29%
FC Nantes45%Draw26%US du Littoral de Dunkerque29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Nantes45%2.23—
XDraw26%3.85—
2US du Littoral de Dunkerque29%3.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75

No43%

ours 2.33

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC NantesUS du Littoral de DunkerqueCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded1.671.172.84
Corners7.67.87.7
Cards1.62.44.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC NantesUS du Littoral de Dunkerque

FC Nantes 45%, US du Littoral de Dunkerque 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Nantes 45%Draw 26%US du Littoral de Dunkerque 29%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
39 · 33 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FC Nantes

  • awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale2:1
  • awayFC Sochaux-Montbéliard0:1
  • homeAS Nancy-Lorraine1:0
  • awayEn Avant Guingamp3:3
  • homeRodez Aveyron Football2:5

US du Littoral de Dunkerque

  • awayPau FC0:2
  • homeAS Saint-Étienne2:1
  • homeClermont Foot 631:1
  • awayAS Nancy-Lorraine0:2
  • homeMontpellier HSC0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Pau FC72236:68
11En Avant Guingamp722310:128
12US du Littoral de Dunkerque722310:128
13Grenoble Foot 3872238:118
14Rodez Aveyron Football721414:167
15FC Nantes72149:137
16Clermont Foot 6370614:66
17US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale70523:55

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.