Both teams to score
Yes62%
ours 1.62
No38%
ours 2.61
All matches
—
Emmen — Den Bosch, Eerste Divisie
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie
Emmen
1.6DWLLW
Den Bosch
1.6DLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%23%28%
Emmen49%Draw23%Den Bosch28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Emmen2.03—
XDraw4.36—
2Den Bosch3.59—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEmmenDen BoschCombined
Goals scored0.500.501.00
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners10.09.09.5
Cards2.01.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
EmmenDen Bosch
FC Emmen 49%, FC Den Bosch 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
FC Emmen 49%Draw 23%FC Den Bosch 28%
1st half
37 · 35 · 28
2nd half
41 · 34 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Emmen
- awayRKC Waalwijk1:1
- homeOss1:0
- awayEindhoven1:3
- homeDe Graafschap1:2
- homeVolendam5:3
Den Bosch
- homeDordrecht1:1
- awayDe Graafschap0:1
- homeHelmond Sport2:1
- awayVolendam0:2
- awayPSV II1:3
Head to head
- 01/30/26Eerste Divisie1:1
- 08/29/25Eerste Divisie3:1
- 12/20/24Eerste Divisie0:3
- 09/20/24Eerste Divisie0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Almere City961219:719
Almere City961219:7193
VVV Venlo960323:1418
VVV Venlo960323:14184Emmen951319:1816
Emmen951319:18165
MVV951313:1916
MVV951313:19166
Roda JC94329:715
Roda JC94329:7157
RKC Waalwijk935119:1214
RKC Waalwijk935119:12148
Vitesse942315:1314
Vitesse942315:13149
NAC Breda942319:1914
NAC Breda942319:191410
AZ II941422:1713
AZ II941422:171311
Volendam940520:1712
Volendam940520:171212
PSV II933314:1612
PSV II933314:161213
Eindhoven932415:1911
Eindhoven932415:191114
Helmond Sport923415:169
Helmond Sport923415:16915
Oss930612:149
Oss930612:14916Den Bosch922513:188
Den Bosch922513:18817
Ajax II922513:228
Ajax II922513:22818
Dordrecht922513:248
Dordrecht922513:248Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.