All matches

CD Huachipato — CD O'Higgins, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

CD Huachipato
1.7DLLLL
—
CD O'Higgins
1.9LWLLD
Outcome probability
412237
CD Huachipato41%Draw22%CD O'Higgins37%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CD Huachipato41%2.42—
XDraw22%4.57—
2CD O'Higgins37%2.72—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

See plans

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCD HuachipatoCD O'HigginsCombined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded2.001.833.83
Corners9.511.810.7
Cards2.32.85.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    CD HuachipatoCD O'Higgins
    1Matches in 14 days0
    7.9Days of rest14
    38.50%Possession54.20%
    13Table position12
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour CD Huachipato: a home win is rated at 41%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

    The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

    Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

    Start freePlans

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Form and context

CD Huachipato

  • homeCSD Colo-Colo0:0
  • homeClub Deportes Limache1:3
  • awayCD Palestino1:5
  • homeEverton de Viña del Mar1:4
  • awayCFP Universidad de Chile0:2

CD O'Higgins

  • awayAudax Italiano La Florida SADP0:1
  • homeCD Unión La Calera2:1
  • awayCD Universidad Católica2:3
  • homeCD Palestino0:1
  • awayCSD Colo-Colo2:2

Head to head

  • 04/11/26Primera División2:0
  • 07/21/25Primera División2:1
  • 02/15/25Primera División0:0
  • 09/08/24Primera División1:0
  • 04/14/24Primera División0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10CD Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
11Audax Italiano La Florida SADP2377926:3128
12CD O'Higgins23831228:3627
13CD Huachipato21741029:3925
14CD Unión La Calera23651223:3523
15CD Universidad de Concepción22641217:3722

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

PlansSign in

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.