BKMA 1:1 Sardarapat, Premier League
Armenia, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedSardarapat44%
Actual: Draw — we had 23%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.569%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 31%
- Both teams to score LandedYes69%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Form and context
BKMA
- homeSardarapat1:1
- awayVan1:2
- homeUrartu2:1
- awayGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeNoah0:1
Sardarapat
- awayBKMA1:1
- homeAlashkert1:1
- homePyunik2:4
- awayShirak0:2
- homeSyunik3:1
Head to head
- 09/19/26Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
Pyunik853018:818
Alashkert944119:716Sardarapat833214:1212
Urartu832312:1011
Shirak831411:1010
Ararat Yerevan83056:139BKMA82248:108
Van92166:217
Gandzasar Kapan91088:223Full breakdown
Every market of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.