All matches

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa Reds prediction

Japan, J1 League

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Vissel Kobe 46%, Urawa Reds 28%, draw 27%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.6WDLWL
  
2.1LWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%27%28%
Vissel KobePrice 2.1546%DrawPrice 3.5327%Urawa RedsPrice 3.3328%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Vissel Kobe46%45%2.192.15+0.7
XDraw27%27%3.763.53-0.2
2Urawa Reds28%28%3.593.33-0.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.75price 1.64

No43%

ours 2.33price 2.13

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Vissel KobeUrawa Reds

Vissel Kobe 46%, Urawa Red Diamonds 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Vissel Kobe 46%Draw 27%Urawa Red Diamonds 28%
1st half
31 · 45 · 23
2nd half
39 · 32 · 29

Prices: 2.15 · 3.53 · 3.33

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Over 6.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVissel KobeUrawa RedsCombined
Goals scored1.801.002.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Vissel Kobe
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches3:1, 0:0, 2:1, 3:1, 1:0
  • Fewest yellow cards in the league — 0.7 per match20 teams in the league
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Urawa Reds
  • Worst defence in the league — 27 conceded in 13 matches9th place, 21 points

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Vissel Kobe

  • homeNagoya Grampus3:1
  • homeMachida Zelvia0:0
  • awayKawasaki Frontale1:2
  • awayFagiano Okayama3:0
  • awayKashiwa Reysol2:4

Urawa Reds

  • awayKashiwa Reysol0:4
  • homeV-Varen Nagasaki1:0
  • homeJEF United Chiba3:2
  • awayMito HollyHock1:0
  • awayFC Tokyo0:3

Head to head

  • 10/04/25J1 League0:1
  • 02/15/25J1 League0:0
  • 09/28/24J1 League1:0
  • 06/01/24J1 League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Machida Zelvia1384130:1028
4Kashiwa Reysol1391329:1928
5Vissel Kobe1382321:1226
6Kashima Antlers1372429:2223
7Kawasaki Frontale1364327:2222
8Yokohama F. Marinos1356220:1421
9Urawa Reds1370621:2721
10Fagiano Okayama1351715:2116
11Nagoya Grampus1342715:2114

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.