All matches

Veraguas CD — Tauro FC, LPF

Panama, LPF

Veraguas CD
2.0DDWLD
—
Tauro FC
1.6LWWWW
Outcome probability
353332
Veraguas CD35%Draw33%Tauro FC32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Veraguas CD35%2.87—
XDraw33%3.02—
2Tauro FC32%3.11—

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVeraguas CDTauro FCCombined
Goals scored1.332.003.33
Conceded1.501.002.50
Corners7.010.88.9
Cards2.02.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Veraguas CDTauro FC
    4Table position5
    7Days of rest7.9
    50.40%Possession46.20%
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour Veraguas CD: a home win is rated at 35%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Veraguas CD

  • homeAF Sporting San Miguelito1:1
  • awayCD Plaza Amador1:1
  • homeAlianza FC Panama2:1
  • awayCD Árabe Unido1:3
  • awayUMECIT FC1:1

Tauro FC

  • homeSan Francisco FC Panama1:3
  • awayHerrera FC6:0
  • homeCD Universitario1:0
  • awayUnión Coclé FC2:0
  • homeCA Independiente de La Chorrera2:1

Head to head

  • 03/14/26LPF1:1
  • 09/13/25LPF3:1
  • 03/29/25LPF2:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2CD Árabe Unido1063115:721
3San Francisco FC Panama1062222:1320
4Veraguas CD1036115:1415
5Tauro FC1042415:1114
6UMECIT FC103439:913
7Alianza FC Panama92529:911

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.