All matches

Vegalta Sendai — Ventforet Kofu, J2 League

Japan, J2 League

  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
66%20%14%
Vegalta Sendai66%Draw20%Ventforet Kofu14%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vegalta Sendai66%1.51—
XDraw20%5.01—
2Ventforet Kofu14%7.13—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.87

No46%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Vegalta SendaiVentforet Kofu

Vegalta Sendai 66%, Ventforet Kofu 14%. The safest is “Vegalta Sendai or draw” at 86%.

Vegalta Sendai 66%Draw 20%Ventforet Kofu 14%
1st half
47 · 35 · 17
2nd half
52 · 33 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVegalta SendaiVentforet KofuCombined
Goals scored1.400.802.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Vegalta Sendai
  • Unbeaten at home in 6 matches3:1, 0:0, 2:1, 1:1, 4:2
  • League leaders — 27 points from 13 matches
  • 3 draws in the last 4 head-to-head meetings0:0, 2:1, 2:2, 1:1
Ventforet Kofu
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
  • Relegation zone: 20th of 20
  • One win in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:3, 0:5, 2:1, 1:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Vegalta Sendai

  • awayAlbirex Niigata1:2
  • homeFC Imabari3:1
  • homeTokushima Vortis0:0
  • awayMontedio Yamagata1:0
  • homeJubilo Iwata2:1

Ventforet Kofu

  • awayOita Trinita1:1
  • homeYokohama FC0:3
  • awayIwaki FC0:5
  • homeTochigi City2:1
  • homeKataller Toyama1:2

Head to head

  • 06/22/25J2 League0:0
  • 04/29/25J2 League2:1
  • 09/21/24J2 League2:2
  • 06/08/24J2 League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vegalta Sendai1383222:1127
2Albirex Niigata1382319:2126
3Kataller Toyama1364323:1222
4Yokohama FC1364325:1622
5Shonan Bellmare1357115:1222
6Omiya Ardija1356223:1621
7Tegevajaro Miyazaki1355319:1620
8Oita Trinita1347217:1019
9Iwaki FC1352620:1917
10Sagan Tosu1352614:1517
11Tokushima Vortis1352611:1317
12Consadole Sapporo1352616:1917
13Blaublitz Akita1344514:1416
14Jubilo Iwata1344514:1516
15Fujieda MYFC1336415:1415
16Vanraure Hachinohe1342710:2214
17Montedio Yamagata1341811:1313
18Tochigi City1333720:2212
19FC Imabari1332815:2611
20Ventforet Kofu1332810:2711

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.