Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.93
No48%
ours 2.07
All matches
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Jubilo Iwata — Sagan Tosu, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Jubilo Iwata
LLLWL
Sagan Tosu
LLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%27%35%
Jubilo Iwata39%Draw27%Sagan Tosu35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jubilo Iwata2.59—
XDraw3.74—
2Sagan Tosu2.89—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJubilo IwataSagan TosuCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners12.59.010.8
Cards4.01.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Jubilo IwataSagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata 39%, Sagan Tosu 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Jubilo Iwata 39%Draw 27%Sagan Tosu 35%
1st half
25 · 46 · 29
2nd half
36 · 36 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Jubilo Iwata
- awayVegalta Sendai1:2
- homeVanraure Hachinohe1:2
- awayAlbirex Niigata1:2
- awayVentforet Kofu1:0
- homeKataller Toyama0:1
Sagan Tosu
- awayBlaublitz Akita0:1
- awayMontedio Yamagata0:2
- homeIwaki FC1:3
- awayFC Imabari0:1
- homeTegevajaro Miyazaki2:0
Head to head
- 11/29/25J2 League2:1
- 02/22/25J2 League1:0
- 12/08/24J1 League0:3
- 05/11/24J1 League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Oita Trinita92529:711
Oita Trinita92529:71113
Tochigi City931515:1510
Tochigi City931515:151014Jubilo Iwata931511:1310
Jubilo Iwata931511:131015
Vanraure Hachinohe93155:1410
Vanraure Hachinohe93155:141016
Iwaki FC930612:179
Iwaki FC930612:17917Sagan Tosu92258:128
Sagan Tosu92258:12818
Consadole Sapporo922512:188
Consadole Sapporo922512:18819
FC Imabari92169:187
FC Imabari92169:187Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.