All matches

US Biskra — MC Alger, Ligue 1

Algeria, Ligue 1

US Biskra
1.0LLLDL
  
MC Alger
2.9DWWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
22%69%
US Biskra8%Draw22%MC Alger69%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1US Biskra8%12.09—
XDraw22%4.48—
2MC Alger69%1.44—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes42%

ours 2.39

No58%

ours 1.72

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

US BiskraMC Alger

US Biskra 8%, MC Alger 69%. The safest is “MC Alger or draw” at 92%.

US Biskra 8%Draw 22%MC Alger 69%
1st half
12 · 55 · 32
2nd half
6 · 40 · 54
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 26.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUS BiskraMC AlgerCombined
Goals scored0.201.201.40
Conceded2.000.402.40
Corners8.47.27.8
Cards1.42.03.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

US Biskra
  • Winless in 15 matches1:4, 0:1, 0:4, 0:0, 0:1
  • Winless at home in 7 matches0:1, 0:0, 0:1, 1:2, 0:2
  • Only 1 goal in the last 5 matches1:4, 0:1, 0:4, 0:0, 0:1
MC Alger
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 1:0, 2:0, 2:0, 0:1
  • 10 days’ rest vs 5 for the opponent
  • Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

US Biskra

  • awayJS Kabylie1:4
  • homeMC Oran0:1
  • awayCS Constantine0:4
  • homeJS Saoura0:0
  • homeCR Belouizdad0:1

MC Alger

  • awayASO Chlef1:1
  • homeTemouchent1:0
  • homeMB Rouisset2:0
  • homeASO Chlef2:0
  • awayES Setif0:1

Head to head

  • 04/19/25Ligue 10:1
  • 11/09/24Ligue 10:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4JS Kabylie53117:310
5USM Alger53116:310
6MC Alger32104:17
7JS El Biar621312:117
8Akbou52126:67
9CS Constantine621311:127
10ES Ben Aknoun51317:76
11ES Setif51226:45
12USM Khenchela51223:35
13Temouchent61233:75
14ASO Chlef60335:103
15JS Saoura50230:62
16US Biskra60243:122

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.