All matches

Universitario de Vinto — Real Oruro, LFPB

Bolivia, LFPB

Universitario de Vinto
1.0DWLWL
—
Real Oruro
1.4LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%24%23%
Universitario de VintoMarket 1.6753%DrawMarket 3.9524%Real OruroMarket 3.9323%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universitario de Vinto53%60%1.891.67-7.0
XDraw24%25%4.213.95-1.6
2Real Oruro23%25%4.273.93-2.0

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58book 1.37

No37%

ours 2.73book 2.81

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversitario de VintoReal OruroCombined
Goals scored1.501.172.67
Conceded1.502.504.00
Corners10.312.311.3
Cards2.52.24.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universitario de VintoReal Oruro

Universitario de Vinto 53%, CDT Real Oruro 23%. The safest is “Universitario de Vinto or draw” at 80%.

Universitario de Vinto 53%Draw 24%CDT Real Oruro 23%
1st half
49 · 33 · 18
2nd half
38 · 35 · 27

Bookmakers: 1.67 · 3.95 · 3.93

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

72%1.33
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Universitario de Vinto

  • awayBlooming1:1
  • homeIndependiente Petrolero3:1
  • awayAcademia del Balompie0:2
  • homeNacional Potosi2:0
  • awayThe Strongest3:4

Real Oruro

  • homeReal Potosi0:2
  • awayThe Strongest0:5
  • homeCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo2:0
  • awayBlooming1:1
  • homeBolivar2:4

Head to head

  • 07/08/26LFPB1:4
  • 09/22/25LFPB2:2
  • 05/05/25LFPB0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Nacional Potosi2083930:2827
10Independiente Petrolero2074927:3525
11Real Oruro20631132:5021
12Academia del Balompie20621231:4520
13Cultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo20621221:4020
14Universitario de Vinto20531226:3918
15Real Tomayapo20441215:3916
16Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose20281021:3714

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.