All matches

Alemannia Aachen — Waldhof Mannheim, 3. Liga

Germany, 3. Liga

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
55%23%23%
Alemannia Aachen55%Draw23%Waldhof Mannheim23%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Alemannia Aachen55%1.82—
XDraw23%4.44—
2Waldhof Mannheim23%4.44—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.62

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Alemannia AachenWaldhof Mannheim

TSV Alemannia Aachen 55%, SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

TSV Alemannia Aachen 55%Draw 23%SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 23%
1st half
45 · 35 · 20
2nd half
38 · 32 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAlemannia AachenWaldhof MannheimCombined
Goals scored1.402.203.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Alemannia Aachen
  • Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
  • 2.3 goals per game at home9 matches
Waldhof Mannheim
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches4:1, 0:2, 0:3, 5:1, 2:0
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Alemannia Aachen

  • awayStuttgart II2:1
  • homeHansa Rostock2:0
  • awayWehen Wiesbaden0:3
  • homeViktoria Koln2:5
  • homeDüsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 18951:0

Waldhof Mannheim

  • homeHoffenheim II4:1
  • awayWurzburger Kickers0:2
  • homeIngolstadt0:3
  • awayGrossaspach5:1
  • homeSC Preußen 06 Münster2:0

Head to head

  • 03/01/263. Liga1:2
  • 09/20/253. Liga3:2
  • 03/02/253. Liga1:2
  • 09/25/243. Liga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Rot-Weiss Essen1163219:1321
4Saarbrucken1152426:2017
5Alemannia Aachen1152417:1717
6Ingolstadt1152415:1617
7Waldhof Mannheim1151520:1716
8Hoffenheim II1151521:1916
9Hansa Rostock1144318:2016

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.