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Suwon Samsung Bluewings — Yongin FC, K League 2: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

South Korea, K League 2

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
74%16%
Suwon Samsung BluewingsPrice 1.2874%DrawPrice 5.0016%Yongin FCPrice 7.9510%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Suwon Samsung Bluewings74%75%1.351.28-1.1
XDraw16%16%6.195.00+0.5
2Yongin FC10%9%10.307.95+0.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79price 1.87

No44%

ours 2.26price 1.82

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Suwon Samsung BluewingsYongin FC

Suwon Samsung Bluewings FC 74%, Yongin City Government FC 10%. The safest is “Suwon Samsung Bluewings FC or draw” at 90%.

Suwon Samsung Bluewings FC 74%Draw 16%Yongin City Government FC 10%
1st half
47 · 40 · 14
2nd half
56 · 29 · 15

Prices: 1.28 · 5.00 · 7.95

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

61%1.46
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSuwon Samsung BluewingsYongin FCCombined
Goals scored2.401.403.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Suwon Samsung Bluewings
  • Unbeaten in 13 matches2:2, 2:0, 3:2, 4:1, 1:0
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches3:2, 4:1, 2:0, 2:2, 1:0
  • League leaders — 63 points from 29 matches
Yongin FC
  • 16th of 17 for shots — 9.3 per match17 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Suwon Samsung Bluewings

  • awayDaegu FC2:2
  • awaySeongnam2:0
  • homeHwaseong3:2
  • homeAnsan Greeners4:1
  • awaySeoul E-Land1:0

Yongin FC

  • homeSeoul E-Land4:2
  • awayChungbuk Cheongju2:0
  • homeAnsan Greeners0:4
  • awayJeonnam Dragons1:2
  • homeGyeongnam0:0

Head to head

  • 03/28/26K League 21:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Suwon FC29169454:3157
3Seoul E-Land29166754:3654
4Daegu FC29158657:4053
5Busan IPark29146947:3748
6Hwaseong30129944:3345
7Chungnam Asan29119941:3342
8Gyeongnam29911933:3438
9Gimpo FC29911937:3938
10Paju Frontier29971329:3534
11Yongin FC297121038:4333
12Seongnam297111132:3932
13Chungbuk Cheongju306141036:4932

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.