Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
Gimhae FC — Cheonan City, K League 2
South Korea, K League 2
Gimhae FC
LLDLL
Cheonan City
LDDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
34%27%39%
Gimhae FC34%Draw27%Cheonan City39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gimhae FC2.94—
XDraw3.75—
2Cheonan City2.54—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gimhae FCCheonan City
Gimhae City Government FC 34%, Cheonan City Government FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Gimhae City Government FC 34%Draw 27%Cheonan City Government FC 39%
1st half
29 · 45 · 27
2nd half
26 · 40 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGimhae FCCheonan CityCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded1.001.002.00
Corners11.08.09.5
Cards1.71.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Gimhae FC
- homePaju Frontier0:2
- awayBusan IPark0:2
- homeJeonnam Dragons2:2
- homeYongin FC0:3
- awaySuwon FC0:2
Cheonan City
- awayChungnam Asan1:3
- awaySuwon FC1:1
- homeHwaseong1:1
- awayJeonnam Dragons0:1
- homeSuwon Samsung Bluewings0:1
Head to head
- 07/10/26K League 21:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12
Chungbuk Cheongju26514731:4129
Chungbuk Cheongju26514731:412913
Yongin FC25512831:3527
Yongin FC25512831:352714Cheonan City264111130:3723
Cheonan City264111130:372315
Ansan Greeners26641627:4922
Ansan Greeners26641627:492216
Jeonnam Dragons25491228:4321
Jeonnam Dragons25491228:432117Gimhae FC25271619:4913
Gimhae FC25271619:4913Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.