Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.74
No42%
ours 2.35
All matches
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Sturm Graz II — Voitsberg, 2. Liga
Austria, 2. Liga
Sturm Graz II
DDWLL
Voitsberg
WDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
32%25%43%
Sturm Graz II32%Draw25%Voitsberg43%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sturm Graz II3.09—
XDraw4.01—
2Voitsberg2.34—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSturm Graz IIVoitsbergCombined
Goals scored1.670.832.50
Conceded1.170.832.00
Corners8.011.09.5
Cards4.31.76.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sturm Graz IIVoitsberg
SK Sturm Graz II 32%, ASK Voitsberg 43%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
SK Sturm Graz II 32%Draw 25%ASK Voitsberg 43%
1st half
28 · 35 · 37
2nd half
28 · 40 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sturm Graz II
- homeWacker Innsbruck2:2
- awayAustria Salzburg3:3
- homeRapid Wien II5:2
- awaySchwarz-Weiss Bregenz1:3
- homeAdmira Wacker0:2
Voitsberg
- homeAustria Salzburg2:1
- awayWacker Innsbruck1:1
- homeLiefering2:3
- awayFC Blau-Weiß Linz1:5
- homeSchwarz-Weiss Bregenz0:0
Head to head
- 04/11/252. Liga1:1
- 09/28/242. Liga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
St. Polten73046:69
St. Polten73046:6911
Admira Wacker73047:89
Admira Wacker73047:8912Voitsberg723210:129
Voitsberg723210:12913Sturm Graz II722315:188
Sturm Graz II722315:18814
Rapid Wien II72057:176
Rapid Wien II72057:17615
Wels71158:174
Wels71158:174Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.