All matches

Sivasspor — Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü, 1. Lig

Turkey, 1. Lig

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%29%42%
Sivasspor30%Draw29%Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü42%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sivasspor30%3.35—
XDraw29%3.51—
2Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü42%2.40—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SivassporBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü

Sivasspor 30%, Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

Sivasspor 30%Draw 29%Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü 42%
1st half
29 · 41 · 30
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSivassporBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor KulübüCombined
Goals scored1.401.803.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Sivasspor
  • Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:1, 4:1, 1:1, 2:2, 2:2
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • 7 draws in 12 matches — most in the league14th place, 13 points
Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü
  • 3 wins in a row2:1, 2:1, 4:1, 0:2, 1:1
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:1, 2:1, 4:1, 0:2, 1:1
  • 19th of 20 for shots — 10.3 per match20 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Sivasspor

  • awayUmraniyespor0:4
  • homeSariyer1:1
  • awayBandirmaspor1:1
  • homePendikspor4:1
  • awayKeciorengucu1:1

Bodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü

  • awayAntalyaspor2:1
  • homeBandirmaspor2:1
  • awaySariyer4:1
  • homeKeciorengucu0:2
  • awayPendikspor1:1

Head to head

  • 01/19/261. Lig2:1
  • 08/17/251. Lig1:1
  • 05/11/25Süper Lig0:0
  • 12/13/24Süper Lig0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Muglaspor1246218:1418
8Antalyaspor1260618:1918
11Sariyer1244414:1716
12Bandirmaspor1235417:1014
13Umraniyespor1134413:1013
14Sivasspor1227315:1813
15Erokspor1226412:1612
16Vanspor1233613:2212

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.