Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67price 1.54
No40%
ours 2.50price 2.32
All matches
Shanghai Port — Shenyang Urban, Super League: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
76%14%
Shanghai PortPrice 1.2976%DrawPrice 6.2514%Shenyang UrbanPrice 9.1010%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Shanghai Port1.321.29-0.5
XDraw6.936.25+0.3
2Shenyang Urban10.449.10+0.1
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Shanghai PortShenyang Urban
Shanghai SIPG FC 76%, Shenyang Urban FC 10%. The safest is “Shanghai SIPG FC or draw” at 90%.
Shanghai SIPG FC 76%Draw 14%Shenyang Urban FC 10%
1st half
61 · 28 · 11
2nd half
50 · 28 · 22
Prices: 1.29 · 6.25 · 9.10
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Goal in both halves: Yes
70%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricShanghai PortShenyang UrbanCombined
Goals scored2.201.403.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Shanghai Port- 3 clean sheets in the last 53:1, 3:0, 4:2, 0:0, 1:0
- Unbeaten in 9 matches3:1, 3:0, 4:2, 0:0, 1:0
- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches3:0, 0:0, 2:1, 1:1, 0:1
Shenyang Urban- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 9.0 per match16 teams in the league
- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Shanghai Port
- awayTianjin Jinmen Tiger3:1
- homeChengdu Rongcheng3:0
- awayZhejiang4:2
- homeBeijing Guoan0:0
- awaySichuan Jiuniu1:0
Shenyang Urban
- homeZhejiang2:4
- awayQingdao Hainiu4:0
- homeWuhan Three Towns1:1
- awayTianjin Jinmen Tiger0:1
- awayYunnan Yukun0:5
Head to head
- 05/29/26Super League2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
China, Super League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.