All matches

Zhejiang vs Henan FC prediction

China, Super League

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Zhejiang 46%, Henan FC 32%, draw 23%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.0WLLWL
  
1.9LLDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
46%23%32%
ZhejiangPrice 2.1046%DrawPrice 4.2023%Henan FCPrice 3.0032%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Zhejiang46%46%2.182.10-0.1
XDraw23%22%4.444.20+0.2
2Henan FC32%32%3.163.00-0.1

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes73%

ours 1.36price 1.25

No27%

ours 3.75price 3.56

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZhejiangHenan FC

Zhejiang Professional FC 46%, Henan Jianye FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Zhejiang Professional FC 46%Draw 23%Henan Jianye FC 32%
1st half
32 · 34 · 35
2nd half
42 · 28 · 30

Prices: 2.10 · 4.20 · 3.00

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

68%1.39
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZhejiangHenan FCCombined
Goals scored2.201.203.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Zhejiang
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches4:2, 0:5, 2:4, 4:1, 1:2
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 54:2, 0:5, 2:4, 4:1, 1:2
Henan FC
  • Winless in 10 matches3:4, 0:1, 2:2, 1:1, 0:0
  • Winless away in 4 matches2:2, 1:1, 4:4, 1:4, 2:1
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Zhejiang

  • awayShenyang Urban4:2
  • awayShandong Taishan0:5
  • homeShanghai Port2:4
  • homeWuhan Three Towns4:1
  • awayTianjin Jinmen Tiger1:2

Henan FC

  • homeBeijing Guoan3:4
  • homeTianjin Jinmen Tiger0:1
  • awaySichuan Jiuniu2:2
  • awayWuhan Three Towns1:1
  • homeChengdu Rongcheng0:0

Head to head

  • 05/30/26Super League2:0
  • 10/25/25Super League2:2
  • 05/16/25Super League2:2
  • 07/21/24Super League1:2
  • 04/30/24Super League4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger291181039:3541
8Yunnan Yukun291171157:6040
9Zhejiang291161251:5439
10Qingdao West Coast29815632:3839
12Henan FC298101138:4234
13Sichuan Jiuniu29951539:5132
14Shenyang Urban29851641:5229

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.