Both teams to score
Yes64%
Fair price 1.57
No36%
Fair price 2.75
All matches
Sardarapat vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
VARStats prediction for 27 November: Ararat-Armenia 67%, draw 18%, Sardarapat 15%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
15%18%67%
Sardarapat15%Draw18%Ararat-Armenia67%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sardarapat6.64—
XDraw5.68—
2Ararat-Armenia1.49—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
3 days free →Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
3 days free →This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Most likely score
The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.
- 1:2
- 0:2
- 1:3
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
SardarapatArarat-Armenia
Sardarapat 15%, Ararat-Armenia 67%. The safest is “Ararat-Armenia or draw” at 86%.
Sardarapat 15%Draw 18%Ararat-Armenia 67%
1st half
17 · 37 · 45
2nd half
22 · 25 · 53
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
3 days free →More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Away
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
3 days free →Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSardarapatArarat-ArmeniaCombined
Goals scored1.401.402.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
3 days free →Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Sardarapat- 7 days’ rest vs 0 for the opponent
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
- 4 draws in 12 matches — most in the league5th place, 19 points
Ararat-Armenia- schedule7 days’ rest
- 2nd in the league for shots on target — 5.3 per match10 teams in the league
- Played in Europe this week
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Sardarapat
- homeVan2:2
- homeUrartu1:0
- awayGandzasar Kapan2:1
- homeNoah1:5
- awayBKMA1:1
Ararat-Armenia
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:0
- homeNoah2:1
- homeAZ Alkmaar0:4
- awayBKMA1:0
- awayJagiellonia1:3
Head to head
- 08/23/26Premier League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Armenia, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
3 days free →Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.