Portland Timbers vs Atlanta United: result 0:1
USA, MLSMatch finished
Final score 0:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Portland Timbers 56%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 21%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedPortland Timbers56%
Actual: Atlanta United — we had 21%
- Total goals MissedOver 2.561%
Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 39%
- Both teams to score MissedYes59%
Actual: No — we had 41%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Portland Timbers
- homeHouston Dynamo3:1
- awaySt. Louis City3:2
- homeCharlotte3:2
- homeColorado Rapids0:0
- awayLA Galaxy0:2
Atlanta United
- homeToronto3:1
- awayNew York City1:2
- homeChicago Fire2:3
- homeInter Miami1:3
- awayMontreal Impact3:0
Head to head
- 09/20/26MLS0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
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Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.