Primera División

Newell's Old BoysВНННВ
—
CA LanúsВВПНП
1Newell's Old Boys35%model2.84bookmaker2.89
XDraw31%model3.26bookmaker2.96
2CA Lanús34%model2.94bookmaker2.71

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

Expected goals, corners, cards and referee data — with a subscription

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calculated at 23:13, 147 мс

Outcome

Newell's Old Boys35%
Draw31%
CA Lanús34%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Newell's Old Boys vs CA Lanús

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Newell's Old Boys: a home win is rated at 35%. Bookmakers price this at 2.89.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Newell's Old Boys

WDDDW
  • awayPlatense1:0
  • homeClub Atlético Vélez Sarsfield1:1
  • awayCA Rosario Central1:1
  • awayEstudiantes de La Plata0:0
  • homeCA Banfield2:1

CA Lanús

WWLDL
  • homeEstudiantes de La Plata2:1
  • homeCSD Defensa y Justicia1:0
  • awayCA Boca Juniors0:1
  • homeArgentinos Juniors1:1
  • homeCA Independiente1:3

Head to head — score from the perspective of Newell's Old Boys

  • 03/17/26away · Primera División0:5L
  • 06/18/17home · Primera División1:1D

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
…
12Instituto Córdoba25124928:2340
13CA Unión de Santa Fe281071143:3937
14CA Lanús26107928:2637
15CSD Defensa y Justicia26910731:3237
16Gimnasia Mendoza261061028:3136
17CA Sarmiento261121330:3635
18CA Talleres de Córdoba27971128:3134
19CA San Lorenzo de Almagro27810920:2434
20CA Tigre26711827:2432
21Barracas Central2588919:2132
22Racing Club de Avellaneda28881230:3332
23Newell's Old Boys26710926:3531
24CA Tucuman26691122:2627
25CA Banfield25751327:3426
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.