All matches

Nashville SC vs Toronto: result 2:0

USA, MLSMatch finished

Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Nashville SC 65%, draw 20%, Toronto 15%.

2.9WDWDW
2:0HT 2:0
1.5LWLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
65%20%15%
Nashville SCPrice 1.3665%DrawPrice 5.7120%TorontoPrice 8.1515%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.63xG1.07
61Possession, %39
23Shots11
11Shots on target3
9Corners3
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
12Fouls9
5Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 133 of 183void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Nashville SC65%
  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.553%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    No52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Nashville SC65%72%1.551.36-7.8
XDraw20%16%4.925.71+4.0
2Toronto15%11%6.668.15+3.8

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Nashville SC

  • homeNew York Red Bulls3:2
  • homePhiladelphia Union0:0
  • awayMontreal Impact2:0
  • awaySan Jose Earthquakes1:1
  • homeSporting Kansas City4:0

Toronto

  • awayAtlanta United1:3
  • homeDC United2:1
  • awayColumbus Crew2:4
  • awayNew York Red Bulls2:0
  • homeOrlando City3:3

Head to head

  • 09/27/26MLS2:0
  • 09/09/26MLS1:2
  • 07/20/25MLS1:0
  • 05/24/25MLS2:1
  • 06/19/24MLS2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Nashville SC33228369:2574
2Vancouver Whitecaps33187872:3461
3Inter Miami331611677:5659
4New England Revolution331841155:4658
5Chicago Fire331671061:5055
6Dallas331510859:5055
7Charlotte331581063:4853
8San Jose Earthquakes331410956:4852
9St. Louis City331491058:4851
10Houston Dynamo331491043:4251
11Los Angeles3312111051:3847
12Philadelphia Union331381262:5147
13Cincinnati3312101167:7346
14Columbus Crew331351555:4944
15LA Galaxy3311111149:5544
16Portland Timbers331271460:6143
17Colorado Rapids331271446:4743
18Seattle Sounders3311101242:4543
19Orlando City331271462:7843
20Real Salt Lake331261551:5142
21Minnesota United3310111253:5741
22New York City339121248:4539
23Toronto339121251:6339
24New York Red Bulls331161645:6239
25San Diego339111357:6238

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.