Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
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Mito Hollyhock — Urawa Red Diamonds, J1 League
Japan, J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
LLDWD
Urawa Red Diamonds
WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
41%25%34%
Mito Hollyhock41%Draw25%Urawa Red Diamonds34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mito Hollyhock2.43—
XDraw4.03—
2Urawa Red Diamonds2.93—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMito HollyhockUrawa Red DiamondsCombined
Goals scored1.001.832.83
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners6.69.88.2
Cards1.61.22.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Mito HollyhockUrawa Red Diamonds
Mito Hollyhock 41%, Urawa Red Diamonds 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Mito Hollyhock 41%Draw 25%Urawa Red Diamonds 34%
1st half
36 · 38 · 26
2nd half
28 · 38 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Mito Hollyhock
- awayYokohama F. Marinos0:2
- homeKawasaki Frontale0:1
- awayAvispa Fukuoka1:1
- homeKashima Antlers4:2
- homeFC Machida Zelvia1:1
Urawa Red Diamonds
- homeTokyo Verdy3:1
- homeFagiano Okayama1:2
- awayKashima Antlers1:0
- awayAvispa Fukuoka3:2
- homeYokohama F. Marinos3:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Kashima Antlers841317:1613
Kashima Antlers841317:16139
Fagiano Okayama841311:1013
Fagiano Okayama841311:101310Urawa Red Diamonds840416:1812
Urawa Red Diamonds840416:181211
Cerezo Osaka83237:1211
Cerezo Osaka83237:121112
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:810
Shimizu S-Pulse83146:81013Mito Hollyhock823311:119
Mito Hollyhock823311:11914
Kyoto Sanga FC822411:158
Kyoto Sanga FC822411:15815
V-Varen Nagasaki822410:158
V-Varen Nagasaki822410:158Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.