All matches

Kuopion Palloseura — AC Oulu, Veikkausliiga

Finland, Veikkausliiga

Kuopion Palloseura
3.1WDDLW
—
AC Oulu
1.3LLLDW
Outcome probability
7416
Kuopion Palloseura74%Draw16%AC Oulu10%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kuopion Palloseura74%1.35—
XDraw16%6.22—
2AC Oulu10%10.16—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes40%

ours 2.50

No60%

ours 1.67

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKuopion PalloseuraAC OuluCombined
Goals scored1.000.671.67
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners10.07.28.6
Cards1.31.73.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    Kuopion PalloseuraAC Oulu
    1Table position8
    57.80%Possession49.70%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Kuopion Palloseura look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 74%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Kuopion Palloseura

  • awayVaasan Palloseura2:0
  • homeHelsingin Jalkapalloklubi0:0
  • awayIF Gnistan1:1
  • awayFC Inter Turku0:1
  • homeShamrock Rovers FC1:0

AC Oulu

  • homeFC Inter Turku0:1
  • homeIF Gnistan1:2
  • awayVaasan Palloseura0:1
  • homeSeinäjoen Jalkapallokerho0:0
  • awayFF Jaro1:0

Head to head

  • 05/02/26Veikkausliiga0:2
  • 04/22/26Veikkausliiga3:2
  • 07/04/25Veikkausliiga2:2
  • 04/12/25Veikkausliiga1:0
  • 06/28/24Veikkausliiga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kuopion Palloseura25139341:2448
2FC Inter Turku25139332:1848
3Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi25126739:2942
4IF Gnistan25118640:3241
5FC Lahti25106930:2436
6Vaasan Palloseura25106930:2536
7Tampereen Ilves251041142:3834
8AC Oulu251041126:2934
9Turun Palloseura2588928:2732
10Seinäjoen Jalkapallokerho25591128:3524

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.