All matches

Erzurumspor — Corum FK, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Erzurumspor
1.9WLWDL
—
Corum FK
1.8LWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%27%32%
Erzurumspor41%Draw27%Corum FK32%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Erzurumspor41%2.46—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Corum FK32%3.09—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricErzurumsporCorum FKCombined
Goals scored0.331.501.83
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners8.79.08.8
Cards1.33.04.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ErzurumsporCorum FK

BB Erzurumspor 41%, Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

BB Erzurumspor 41%Draw 27%Çorum Belediye Spor Kulübü 32%
1st half
35 · 38 · 27
2nd half
28 · 41 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Erzurumspor

  • homeSamsunspor1:0
  • awayBesiktas0:3
  • homeKonyaspor1:0
  • awayGenclerbirligi1:1
  • homeGalatasaray0:4

Corum FK

  • homeAlanyaspor1:2
  • awaySamsunspor5:1
  • homeEyupspor3:0
  • awayBesiktas2:6
  • homeKasimpasa0:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137
14Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.