All matches

KF Drita — Ujvara e Malishevës, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

KF Drita
2.9WDLDW
—
Ujvara e Malishevës
2.4WWLWW
Outcome probability
452629
KF Drita45%Draw26%Ujvara e Malishevës29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KF Drita45%2.21—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Ujvara e Malishevës29%3.46—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.96

No49%

ours 2.04

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKF DritaUjvara e MalishevësCombined
Goals scored0.502.172.67
Conceded0.330.831.16
Corners7.77.07.3
Cards0.50.00.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    KF DritaUjvara e Malishevës
    4Table position2
    60.30%Possession55.60%
    14Days of rest14
    0Matches in 14 days0
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    KF Drita look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 45%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

KF Drita

  • awayKF Dukagjini Klina2:1
  • homeKF Gjilani0:0
  • awayKF Feronikeli0:1
  • homeKF Drenica Skënderaj0:0
  • awayKF Llamkos Kosova Vushtrri1:0

Ujvara e Malishevës

  • homeKF Ballkani2:1
  • awayKF Llapi Podujevë4:0
  • awayKF Dukagjini Klina0:2
  • homeKF Gjilani3:1
  • awayKF Feronikeli3:0

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Superleague of Kosovo2:3
  • 04/05/26Superleague of Kosovo2:0
  • 12/21/25Superleague of Kosovo1:1
  • 10/18/25Superleague of Kosovo2:1
  • 04/13/25Superleague of Kosovo0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1FC Prishtina660018:418
2Ujvara e Malishevës751119:616
3KF Dukagjini Klina73318:512
4KF Drita63218:511
5KF Gjilani732210:811
6KF Ballkani73139:810

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.