All matches

KF Aresimi 1973 — Sileks, First Football League

FYR Macedonia, First Football League

KF Aresimi 1973
LDLDW
—
Sileks
1.9DDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
23%25%52%
KF Aresimi 197323%Draw25%Sileks52%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1KF Aresimi 197323%4.34—
XDraw25%4.02—
2Sileks52%1.92—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.

Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KF Aresimi 1973Sileks

KF Aresimi 1973 23%, FK Sileks 52%. The safest is “FK Sileks or draw” at 82%.

KF Aresimi 1973 23%Draw 25%FK Sileks 52%
1st half
23 · 36 · 41
2nd half
22 · 32 · 46
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKF Aresimi 1973SileksCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.671.503.17
Corners11.26.08.6
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Form and context

KF Aresimi 1973

  • awayFC Struga Trim-Lum0:6
  • homeShkendija2:2
  • awayVardar0:2
  • homeFK Skopje0:0
  • awayKF Shkëndija 77 Haraçinë2:0

Sileks

  • homeFK Tikveš0:0
  • homeFK Bregalnica Štip2:2
  • awayFC Struga Trim-Lum0:1
  • homeShkendija0:2
  • awayVardar1:4

Head to head

  • 05/15/26First Football League1:0
  • 11/28/25First Football League3:1
  • 08/30/25First Football League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5KF Shkëndija 77 Haraçinë84136:913
6FK Bregalnica Štip831411:1310
7Sileks823313:109
8KF Aresimi 197382246:198
9FK Bashkimi Kumanovo81167:254
10FK Skopje80353:123

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.