Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.21
All matches
Kataller Toyama — Oita Trinita, J2 League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%25%21%
Kataller Toyama54%Draw25%Oita Trinita21%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kataller Toyama1.85—
XDraw4.01—
2Oita Trinita4.79—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Kataller ToyamaOita Trinita
Kataller Toyama 54%, Oita Trinita 21%. The safest is “Kataller Toyama or draw” at 79%.
Kataller Toyama 54%Draw 25%Oita Trinita 21%
1st half
37 · 41 · 22
2nd half
49 · 32 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Under 22.5
70%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKataller ToyamaOita TrinitaCombined
Goals scored1.402.003.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Kataller Toyama- Winless at home in 6 matches0:1, 1:1, 1:1, 3:3, 0:0
- Most shots on target in the league — 7.5 per match20 teams in the league
- 3rd in the table — 22 points from 13 matches
Oita Trinita- Unbeaten in 9 matches1:1, 0:0, 5:1, 2:1, 2:1
- Best defence in the league — 10 conceded in 13 matches8th place, 19 points
- Unbeaten away in 4 matches0:0, 2:1, 1:1, 0:0, 0:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Kataller Toyama
- homeConsadole Sapporo0:1
- awayOmiya Ardija3:0
- homeShonan Bellmare1:1
- homeTegevajaro Miyazaki1:1
- awayVentforet Kofu2:1
Oita Trinita
- homeVentforet Kofu1:1
- awayJubilo Iwata0:0
- homeAlbirex Niigata5:1
- awayYokohama FC2:1
- homeMontedio Yamagata2:1
Head to head
- 08/09/25J2 League2:2
- 05/11/25J2 League1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Japan, J2 League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.