All matches

IK Oddevold — United IK Nordic, Superettan

Sweden, Superettan

IK Oddevold
LDWWL
—
United IK Nordic
LDLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%26%27%
IK Oddevold47%Draw26%United IK Nordic27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IK Oddevold47%2.12—
XDraw26%3.88—
2United IK Nordic27%3.70—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.35

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIK OddevoldUnited IK NordicCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.172.333.50
Corners11.211.511.3
Cards2.01.83.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IK OddevoldUnited IK Nordic

IK Oddevold 47%, United IK Nordic 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

IK Oddevold 47%Draw 26%United IK Nordic 27%
1st half
37 · 40 · 22
2nd half
36 · 34 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

IK Oddevold

  • homeIFK Varnamo1:2
  • awayIFK Norrkoping0:0
  • awaySandvikens IF1:0
  • homeFalkenbergs FF2:1
  • awayVarbergs BoIS FC1:3

United IK Nordic

  • homeLandskrona BoIS1:4
  • awayÖrebro SK1:1
  • homeIFK Varnamo2:4
  • awayÖsters IF2:1
  • homeIFK Norrkoping1:3

Head to head

  • 06/27/26Superettan3:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Östersunds FK251110433:2443
5Landskrona BoIS25117739:2640
6IK Oddevold2599738:3436
7Östers IF251131138:3836
8United IK Nordic2599738:4036
9Sandvikens IF2597941:3534
10Helsingborgs IF25861136:4530

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.