All matches

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona prediction

Israel, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 5 December: Hapoel Petah Tikva 41%, Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona 30%, draw 29%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
41%29%30%
Hapoel Petah Tikva41%Draw29%Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona30%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Hapoel Petah Tikva41%2.44—
XDraw29%3.40—
2Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona30%3.38—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.66

No40%

Fair price 2.51

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 41%, Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC 30%. The safest is “Hapoel Petah Tikva FC or draw” at 70%.

Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 41%Draw 29%Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona FC 30%
1st half
39 · 42 · 19
2nd half
26 · 35 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Over 6.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Ironi Kiryat ShmonaCombined
Goals scored0.400.400.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Hapoel Petah Tikva
  • schedule3 matches in 8 days
  • Winless in 7 matches1:2, 0:1, 0:2, 1:1, 0:3
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.3 per match14 teams in the league
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
  • schedule3 matches in 8 days
  • Winless away in 5 matches1:1, 0:1, 0:1, 2:4, 1:2
  • Winless in 7 matches1:1, 0:1, 0:1, 1:3, 0:1
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:1, 0:1, 0:1, 1:3, 0:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Hapoel Petah Tikva

  • awayHapoel Haifa1:2
  • homeBeitar Jerusalem0:1
  • awayIhoud Bnei Sakhnin0:2
  • homeMaccabi Netanya1:1
  • awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3

Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • awayBeitar Jerusalem1:1
  • homeIhoud Bnei Sakhnin0:1
  • awayMaccabi Netanya0:1
  • homeHapoel Tel Aviv1:3
  • awayHapoel Be'er Sheva0:1

Head to head

  • 12/20/25Premier League4:1
  • 12/20/25Premier League4:1
  • 08/30/25Premier League0:0
  • 08/30/25Premier League0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.