All matches

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Maccabi Haifa, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.8WLWWD
—
Maccabi Haifa
2.5WWWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%27%29%
Hapoel Tel Aviv44%Draw27%Maccabi Haifa29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hapoel Tel Aviv44%2.27—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Maccabi Haifa29%3.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHapoel Tel AvivMaccabi HaifaCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners9.78.08.8
Cards2.03.35.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 44%, Maccabi Haifa FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 44%Draw 27%Maccabi Haifa FC 29%
1st half
34 · 44 · 22
2nd half
34 · 38 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Hapoel Tel Aviv

  • homeHapoel Petah Tikva3:0
  • awayMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
  • homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim4:0
  • homeBeitar Jerusalem3:0
  • awayHapoel Haifa0:0

Maccabi Haifa

  • homeIroni Tiberias3:2
  • awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona4:0
  • homeHapoel Petah Tikva2:1
  • awayMaccabi Tel Aviv1:3
  • homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim2:1

Head to head

  • 05/19/26Israeli Premier League1:4
  • 04/29/26Israeli Premier League4:0
  • 04/06/26Israeli Premier League2:0
  • 02/28/26Israeli Premier League2:0
  • 12/02/25Israeli Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maccabi Tel Aviv550018:615
2Maccabi Haifa540112:712
3Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
4Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
5Beitar Jerusalem53027:99

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.