Both teams to score
Yes58%
Fair price 1.72House price 1.62
No42%
Fair price 2.38House price 2.19
All matches
Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction
VARStats prediction for 8 November: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 40%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 32%, draw 28%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%28%32%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaPrice 2.3840%DrawPrice 3.3028%Hapoel Tel AvivPrice 2.8232%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva played in the Europa League 3 days ago · short rest
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Hapoel Be'er Sheva2.482.38+0.9
XDraw3.573.30+0.2
2Hapoel Tel Aviv3.162.82-1.1
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Hapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 40%, Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 32%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 40%Draw 28%Hapoel Tel Aviv FC 32%
1st half
32 · 46 · 22
2nd half
32 · 34 · 34
Prices: 2.38 · 3.30 · 2.82
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
69%1.39
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHapoel Be'er ShevaHapoel Tel AvivCombined
Goals scored2.602.405.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva- schedule3 matches in 8 days
- 13 goals in the last 5 matches5:2, 5:2, 0:4, 2:1, 1:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Hapoel Tel Aviv- schedule6 days’ rest
- 5 wins in a row2:1, 3:0, 1:0, 3:1, 3:0
- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:1, 3:0, 1:0, 3:1, 3:0
- Best defence in the league — 6 conceded in 9 matches2nd place, 22 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- awayMaccabi Petah Tikva5:2
- awayMaccabi Haifa5:2
- awayUnion Saint-Gilloise0:4
- homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:1
- awayAZ Alkmaar1:2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
- homeMaccabi Haifa2:1
- awayHapoel Katamon Jerusalem3:0
- homeIroni Tiberias1:0
- awayHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona3:1
- homeHapoel Petah Tikva3:0
Head to head
- 05/15/26Premier League2:0
- 05/02/26Premier League2:0
- 01/19/26Premier League1:2
- 01/17/26Premier League1:2
- 10/04/25Premier League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Israel, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Upcoming
Maccabi Tel Aviv
–
Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva
–
Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayimMaccabi Haifa
–
Maccabi NetanyaHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona
–
Hapoel HaifaHapoel Katamon Jerusalem
–
Ihoud Bnei SakhninPlayed
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1Maccabi Haifa✓Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim0:5Maccabi Tel Aviv✓Maccabi Petah Tikva2:5
Hapoel Be'er Sheva✓Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.