Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.18
All matches
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Fujieda MYFC — Montedio Yamagata, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Fujieda MYFC
DDDLD
Montedio Yamagata
LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%26%41%
Fujieda MYFC33%Draw26%Montedio Yamagata41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fujieda MYFC3.02—
XDraw3.86—
2Montedio Yamagata2.44—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFujieda MYFCMontedio YamagataCombined
Goals scored0.830.671.50
Conceded1.001.172.17
Corners10.09.09.5
Cards1.40.62.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Fujieda MYFCMontedio Yamagata
Fujieda MYFC 33%, Montedio Yamagata 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Fujieda MYFC 33%Draw 26%Montedio Yamagata 41%
1st half
23 · 43 · 34
2nd half
32 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Fujieda MYFC
- homeShonan Bellmare1:1
- awayOita Trinita1:1
- homeOmiya Ardija1:1
- awayTegevajaro Miyazaki2:3
- homeVanraure Hachinohe0:0
Montedio Yamagata
- awayOita Trinita1:2
- homeSagan Tosu2:0
- homeKataller Toyama0:2
- awayAlbirex Niigata0:1
- homeVentforet Kofu1:2
Head to head
- 11/29/25J2 League1:2
- 05/31/25J2 League2:1
- 08/24/24J2 League0:1
- 03/20/24J2 League1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Yokohama FC952218:1117
Yokohama FC952218:11176
Shonan Bellmare944110:816
Shonan Bellmare944110:8167Fujieda MYFC934213:1013
Fujieda MYFC934213:10138
Blaublitz Akita934212:1013
Blaublitz Akita934212:10139
Tokushima Vortis94149:1013
Tokushima Vortis94149:101310Montedio Yamagata940511:812
Montedio Yamagata940511:81211
Tegevajaro Miyazaki933313:1312
Tegevajaro Miyazaki933313:131212
Oita Trinita92529:711
Oita Trinita92529:711Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.