Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
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FC Stade Nyonnais — FC Aarau, Challenge League
Switzerland, Challenge League
FC Stade Nyonnais
LLLDL
FC Aarau
LDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
11%16%73%
FC Stade Nyonnais11%Draw16%FC Aarau73%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Stade Nyonnais8.99—
XDraw6.12—
2FC Aarau1.38—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Stade NyonnaisFC AarauCombined
Goals scored0.671.832.50
Conceded2.831.834.66
Corners9.09.79.3
Cards0.81.82.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
FC Stade NyonnaisFC Aarau
FC Stade Nyonnais 11%, FC Aarau 73%. The safest is “FC Aarau or draw” at 85%.
FC Stade Nyonnais 11%Draw 16%FC Aarau 73%
1st half
18 · 37 · 45
2nd half
14 · 28 · 57
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
FC Stade Nyonnais
- awayFC Wil 19000:5
- homeNeuchâtel Xamax FCS1:3
- awayYverdon Sport FC1:4
- homeFC Winterthur2:2
- awaySC Kriens0:3
FC Aarau
- awayFC Winterthur1:2
- homeSC Kriens2:2
- homeFC Rapperswil-Jona3:2
- awayFC Wil 19002:2
- homeNeuchâtel Xamax FCS2:1
Head to head
- 08/07/26Challenge League1:2
- 05/08/26Challenge League1:5
- 02/20/26Challenge League1:1
- 11/22/25Challenge League1:0
- 08/22/25Challenge League4:5
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
Yverdon Sport FC944114:916
Yverdon Sport FC944114:9164
SC Kriens942316:1114
SC Kriens942316:11145FC Aarau933314:1612
FC Aarau933314:16126
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:1712
Neuchâtel Xamax FCS940512:17127
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:1610
FC Rapperswil-Jona931515:16108
Étoile Carouge FC92348:129
Étoile Carouge FC92348:1299
FC Wil 1900923415:219
FC Wil 1900923415:21910FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232
FC Stade Nyonnais90276:232Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.