All matches

Prishtina — Dukagjini, Superleague of Kosovo

Kosovo, Superleague of Kosovo

Prishtina
2.2WWWWW
—
Dukagjini
2.0LDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%26%24%
Prishtina50%Draw26%Dukagjini24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Prishtina50%2.00—
XDraw26%3.85—
2Dukagjini24%4.15—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.03

No51%

ours 1.97

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPrishtinaDukagjiniCombined
Goals scored2.331.333.66
Conceded0.330.831.16
Corners7.68.37.9
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PrishtinaDukagjini

FC Prishtina 50%, KF Dukagjini Klina 24%. The safest is “FC Prishtina or draw” at 79%.

FC Prishtina 50%Draw 26%KF Dukagjini Klina 24%
1st half
36 · 44 · 19
2nd half
37 · 41 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Prishtina

  • awayGjilani2:1
  • homeFeronikeli3:0
  • awayDrenica4:1
  • homeLlamkos1:0
  • homeLlapi4:0

Dukagjini

  • homeDrita1:2
  • awayBallkani0:0
  • homeUjvara2:0
  • awayLlapi2:1
  • awayGjilani2:2

Head to head

  • 04/13/26Superleague of Kosovo1:1
  • 02/07/26Superleague of Kosovo1:0
  • 10/25/25Superleague of Kosovo2:0
  • 08/17/25Superleague of Kosovo3:2
  • 05/07/25Superleague of Kosovo0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Prishtina660018:418
2Ujvara751119:616
3Dukagjini73318:512
4Drita63218:511
5Gjilani732210:811

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.