All matches

Minsk vs Dinamo Brest prediction

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

VARStats prediction for 8 November: Dinamo Brest 54%, Minsk 24%, draw 22%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.8LLLLL
  
2.8WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
24%22%54%
Minsk24%Draw22%Dinamo Brest54%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Minsk24%4.18—
XDraw22%4.57—
2Dinamo Brest54%1.85—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MinskDinamo Brest

FC Minsk 24%, FC Dinamo Brest 54%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

FC Minsk 24%Draw 22%FC Dinamo Brest 54%
1st half
25 · 34 · 41
2nd half
29 · 30 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMinskDinamo BrestCombined
Goals scored0.602.803.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Minsk
  • 5 defeats in a row0:4, 1:3, 2:4, 0:1, 0:2
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches14 goals conceded
  • 0.4 goals per game at home5 matches
Dinamo Brest
  • Unbeaten away in 6 matches4:1, 1:0, 1:0, 1:1, 1:0
  • 14 goals in the last 5 matches3:1, 4:1, 2:2, 1:0, 4:2
  • Unbeaten in 7 matches3:1, 4:1, 2:2, 1:0, 4:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Minsk

  • awayMaxline0:4
  • homeBaranovichi1:3
  • awayIsloch2:4
  • homeTorpedo Zhodino0:1
  • awayBelshina Bobruisk0:2

Dinamo Brest

  • homeVitebsk3:1
  • awayNeman Grodno4:1
  • homeGomel2:2
  • awayArsenal Dzyarzhynsk1:0
  • homeDnepr Mogilev4:2

Head to head

  • 06/27/26Vysheyshaya Liga0:0
  • 10/03/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:0
  • 05/17/25Vysheyshaya Liga0:5
  • 08/24/24Vysheyshaya Liga3:2
  • 04/14/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Isloch27177351:2158
3Dinamo Minsk27184550:2358
4Dinamo Brest27155748:2750
5Neman Grodno27144933:2546
6Gomel27117938:2940
7Vitebsk27117930:2640
8Torpedo Zhodino271061135:3536
9Minsk271041333:4034
10Slavia-Mozyr27871234:3831
11Baranovichi27871230:4331

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.