All matches

Corvinul vs Farul Constanta prediction

Romania, Liga I

VARStats prediction for 28 November: Corvinul 53%, draw 25%, Farul Constanta 22%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

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Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Corvinul53%Draw25%Farul Constanta22%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Corvinul53%1.90—
XDraw25%3.99—
2Farul Constanta22%4.50—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.68

No40%

Fair price 2.47

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CorvinulFarul Constanta

FC Corvinul Hunedoara 53%, SSC Farul Constanţa 22%. The safest is “FC Corvinul Hunedoara or draw” at 76%.

FC Corvinul Hunedoara 53%Draw 25%SSC Farul Constanţa 22%
1st half
39 · 41 · 20
2nd half
43 · 32 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Under 3.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCorvinulFarul ConstantaCombined
Goals scored1.601.803.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Corvinul
  • schedule6 days’ rest
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Farul Constanta
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.4 per match16 teams in the league
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Corvinul

  • homeArges Pitesti2:0
  • homeU Cluj0:3
  • awayRapid Bucuresti0:2
  • homeVoluntari3:2
  • awayOtelul Galati3:2

Farul Constanta

  • awayVoluntari2:1
  • homeOtelul Galati4:3
  • awayUniversitatea Craiova0:2
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti3:1
  • awayDinamo Bucharest0:4

Head to head

  • 07/25/26Liga I0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4U Cluj1481526:2025
6Farul Constanta1465323:2123
7FCSB1463520:2021
8Corvinul1454516:1619
9CFR Cluj1453620:2118
10UTA Arad1453616:1918

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.