All matches

U Cluj — FCSB, Liga I

Romania, Liga I

U Cluj
2.7WWLLL
—
FCSB
2.5LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%25%25%
U Cluj50%Draw25%FCSB25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1U Cluj50%1.99—
XDraw25%3.98—
2FCSB25%4.08—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes61%

ours 1.65

No39%

ours 2.55

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricU ClujFCSBCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.001.501.50
Corners9.511.310.4
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

U ClujFCSB

FC Universitatea Cluj 50%, SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA 25%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

FC Universitatea Cluj 50%Draw 25%SC Fotbal Club FCSB SA 25%
1st half
35 · 37 · 28
2nd half
37 · 38 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

U Cluj

  • awayVoluntari2:0
  • homeOtelul Galati3:0
  • awayUniversitatea Craiova0:4
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti2:3
  • awayDinamo Bucharest1:2

FCSB

  • awayUniversitatea Craiova0:5
  • homeACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti2:2
  • awayDinamo Bucharest1:2
  • homeUTA Arad1:3
  • awayCFR Cluj0:1

Head to head

  • 03/07/26Liga I3:1
  • 11/01/25Liga I0:2
  • 05/11/25Liga I0:2
  • 04/05/25Liga I0:1
  • 11/10/24Liga I1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Universitatea Craiova1062224:920
4ACS Petrolul 52 Ploiesti1061313:1219
5U Cluj950414:1315
6Farul Constanta1035214:1414
7Corvinul1034311:913
8CFR Cluj941415:1413
9Sepsi OSK103437:1013
10UTA Arad1033414:1512
11FCSB1033413:1712
12Botosani1025314:1211
13Arges Pitesti103256:1011

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.