Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 1.99
No50%
ours 2.01
All matches
ES Ben Aknoun — USM Alger, Ligue 1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%32%28%
ES Ben Aknoun40%Draw32%USM Alger28%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1ES Ben Aknoun2.52—
XDraw3.09—
2USM Alger3.58—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ES Ben AknounUSM Alger
ES Ben Aknoun 40%, USM Alger 28%. The safest is “ES Ben Aknoun or draw” at 72%.
ES Ben Aknoun 40%Draw 32%USM Alger 28%
1st half
32 · 45 · 23
2nd half
24 · 42 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Over 20.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricES Ben AknounUSM AlgerCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
ES Ben Aknoun- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches2:2, 2:2, 2:2, 3:0, 2:3
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 12.2 per match15 teams in the league
- Winless in 5 matches0:0, 1:2, 2:2, 1:1, 2:2
USM AlgerNothing unusual in recent matches.
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
ES Ben Aknoun
- awayJS Saoura0:0
- awayAkbou1:2
- homeJS El Biar2:2
- awayUSM Khenchela1:1
- homeUS Biskra2:2
USM Alger
- homeCR Belouizdad2:2
- homeJS Saoura1:0
- awayMB Rouisset0:1
- awayAkbou3:2
- homeJS El Biar2:0
Head to head
- 06/04/26Ligue 12:2
- 12/18/25Ligue 12:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Algeria, Ligue 1: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.