Both teams to score
Yes42%
ours 2.38
No58%
ours 1.73
All matches
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CS Constantine — USM Alger, Ligue 1
Algeria, Ligue 1
CS Constantine
WLWDL
USM Alger
LWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%30%22%
CS Constantine47%Draw30%USM Alger22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Constantine2.11—
XDraw3.29—
2USM Alger4.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CS ConstantineUSM Alger
CS Constantine 47%, USM Alger 22%. The safest is “CS Constantine or draw” at 73%.
CS Constantine 47%Draw 30%USM Alger 22%
1st half
27 · 52 · 21
2nd half
36 · 45 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCS ConstantineUSM AlgerCombined
Goals scored1.500.832.33
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners5.811.38.5
Cards1.02.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
CS Constantine
- homeUS Biskra4:0
- awayES Sétif1:5
- homeASO Chlef3:0
- awayTemouchent1:1
- awayJS Saoura1:3
USM Alger
- awayMB Rouisset0:1
- awayOued Akbou3:2
- homeJeunesse Sportive D'Elbiar2:0
- awayUSM Khenchela0:0
- awayMC Oran2:2
Head to head
- 03/08/26Ligue 10:0
- 10/04/25Ligue 11:1
- 05/11/25Ligue 11:2
- 11/21/24Ligue 11:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
CR Belouizdad43106:310
CR Belouizdad43106:3102CS Constantine42119:67
CS Constantine42119:673
MC Oran32103:07
MC Oran32103:074USM Alger42115:37
USM Alger42115:375
ES Ben Aknoun41306:56
ES Ben Aknoun41306:566
MB Rouisset42023:36
MB Rouisset42023:36Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.